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The Fly Speaks
Written by The Fly - a collection of facts, trends and statistics   
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Just as Dragnet's Detective Friday says "Just the facts ma'am", so does The Fly. The Fly Speaks is The Fly's collection of facts, trends and statistics on specific topics. 

 

 

 

"One year ago, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index sailed to a record 6828.70 points. Amid the euphoria of a seemingly unassailable resources boom, even the most sober analysts thought a break above 7000 points was inevitable. Fast forward 12 months and the market is barely clinging to 4000 points.

 

Despite a strong rally yesterday, shares have shed 41% since peaking last November 1 [2007], as the crippling credit crisis and threat of global recession turns the world on its head."

 

"A year and $650bn later - Nightmare anniversary for investors" by George Liondis in The Australian Financial Review, 31 October 2008, p. 27. Further reading: Special Collection: Business Valuation, Sale or Purchase.

 

 

"The best time to invest, always, is when everything looks gloomiest. That's when the bargains are to be had." - "How to solve the crisis", blog post on Preston's Picks, a blog by Robert Preston, BBC business editor, 4 October 2008. Further reading: Special Collection: Business Valuation, Sale or Purchase  

 

Television program costs per episode "The money men at PBL Media and its private equity owner, CVC Asia Pacific, are big fans of Ramsay. Kitchen Nightmares and Hell's Kitchen cost Nine an estimated A$30,000 and A$15,000 an episode, compared with about A$1 million for each episode of Nine's hit local drama Underbelly and about A$300,00 an episode for its new reality show Domestic Blitz."

"TV chief tells of recipe for success", Rear Window column, The Australian Financial Review, 30 May 2008, p. 48.

Further reading:

Ramsay's net worth - A recipe to make a high net worth celebrity chef

PBL Media - Billions made with Internet business exit strategies and  DVRs and video on demand in Australia

Channel Nine - Think digital, think future proofing

Television formats law - Copyright traps for television formats

 

How many servers do Facebook, Google and Microsoft use? "Facebook does not disclose the number of servers it operates. But research firm Data Center Knowledge puts the tally at about 10,000. [Facebook is rumoured to be buying 50,000 more servers with a recent debt raising of US$100 million.] ... Forrester Research's [Frank] Gillett estimates that Google, owner of the world's biggest Web search engine, is buying half a million servers each year, while Microsoft's annual consumption is as much as 200,000 servers."

Source: "Facebook: Friends with Money" by Spencer E. Ante, BusinessWeek, 9 May 2008.

 

"In my experience, the thing that has the most significant impact on a movie’s budget - but never shows up in a budget - is morale. If you have low morale, for every $1 you spend, you get about 25 cents of value. If you have high morale, for every $1 you spend, you get about $3 of value. Companies should pay much more attention to morale." Source: "Innovation lessons from Pixar: An interview with Oscar-winning director Brad Bird", The McKinsey Quarterly, April 2008. Bird is a two-time Oscar-winning director for Pixar, the production company behind Toy Story, A Bug’s Life, Story 2, The Incredibles and Ratatouille. He was hired by Pixar's senior executive team which includes Steve Jobs, Ed Catmull, and John Lasseter

 

Recoupment record of the Film Finance Corporation  The Australian government's Film Finance Corporation (FFC) will close in 2008. In its 20 year history it part-financed a total of 1007 projects with a total production value of A$2.38 billion, ie the FFC funded part of that sum. Successive governments transferred treasury sums to support the FFC and its investments, ranging from A$200 million for the first three years, scaling down to $A55 million per year under the Howard government and rising in the last few years to A$70 million.

 

"It has invested  in more than 1,000 projects but has only fully recouped its investment in 10 of them. ... Total recoupment is A$259 million. Returns peaked in 1994-95 with A$25.6 million (largely due to Muriel and Priscilla) and reached a low last financial year [2006-07] with A$9.3 million (returns in 1989-90 were lower but the FFC was still in its infancy." Michaela Boland, "Fade out... Film body swalled by super agency" in The Australian Financial Review, 17 April 2008, p. 29. 

 

 

Food exports and food IP for Asia "... in 2006-07, Australian food and beverage exports to the 10 Association of South East Asian Nations [ASEAN] member countries was worth over A$3.7 billion, over five times that of (exports to) China at A$687 million." Austrade's David Twine, quoted in The Age, 15 April 2008, before FHA08, Asia's largest food and hospitality event.

 

Background readingIs Australian cheese properly branded? and How I became a celebrity chef with intellectual property and Intellectual property you can eat and drink and  Hunter Valley wine brands and branding

 

 

Australia's mobile phone mania "...[I]n 2007, 9.64 million mobile devices were shipped to Australia and 3.55 million of these shipped in Q4, the highest quarter on record" reports IDC’s Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker on 25 March 2008. Other IDC report highlights: 

  • Converged devices (smart phones) accounted for 27% of the total devices shipped.
  • Nokia extends its market dominance in Australia to 55.1%.
  • The popularity of GPS in Australia shows no signs of slowing, with the mobile industry now at a point where consumers are assuming that GPS will come with their new mobile, the same way that cameras are taken for granted.
  • The lack of 3G device diversity and no Telstra NextG capable device for the Australian market is seeing RIM's Blackberry growth slowing as consumers opt for HSDPA-equipped devices, which also provide access to high-speed mobile Internet.
Background reading: Content licensing for mobile commerce [Update 1] and Content licensing for mobile phones and Four billion subscribers and SMS revenue models and e-marketing legal compliance

 

"In short, the task of valuing the largest blogs is impossible. That makes it much more interesting than writing about the P/E at General Electric." Douglas A. McIntyre, writing in the 24/7 Wall St blog post titled The Twenty-Five Most Valuable Blogs, 26 March 2008. It's original research. 

 

"Michael and Xochi Birch made an estimated US$600 million (£295 million) yesterday after the sale of their 70% stake in Bebo, the social networking site, to the AOL division of Time Warner for US$850 million (A$898 million) in cash. ...

  • News Corporation, the parent company of The Times, acquired MySpace for US$580 million in 2005, when it had slightly more than 25 million monthly users. Bebo [claims it] has 40 million users.* Facebook [currently with 60+ million subscribers] is thought to have generated US$100 million in [advertsing] revenues in 2007, which is likely to represent a benchmark for Bebo." by Dan Sabbagh, "AOL pays $850m in cash for Bebo as cornerstone of international strategy", The Times, 14 March 2008.
  • * TechCruch quotes Comscore data which says Bebo has 22 million unique visitors. TechCrunch adds: "The deal must clear U.S. and EU antitrust hurdles before it closes. Bebo had raised just a single $15 million round of capital from Balderton Capital (formerly Benchmark Capital Europe) in May 2006."
  • * BusinessWeek quotes Nielsen Online data indicating that unique visits to Bebo in January 2008 topped 7.1 million, a 60% increase from the same period in 2007.

DVD format war ends, Sony Blu-ray wins "Toshiba on Tuesday surrendered in the high-definition format war against Sony-backed Blu-ray, saying it would no longer make or market HD DVD players and recorders. The announcement came four days after Wal-Mart Stores, the world's largest retailer, said it would stop selling HD DVD movies and players by June [2008]. But the turning point in the format battle came last month [January 2008] when Warner Bros. Home Entertainment Group, which accounts for 20% of DVD sales in the U.S., said it would ship all of its high-definition titles in Blu-ray by year's end. Consumer electronics retailerBest Buy and online movie renter Netflix followed suit this month." Extract from "Toshiba Gives Up On HD DVD, Ends High-Def Format War " by Antone Gonsalves, InformationWeek 19 Feb 2008

 

Online video grows via P2P "At a presentation in Australia late last year [1997], Optus' general manager, technology and planning, Peter Ferris, revealed that peer-to-peer traffic, almost exclusively video, soaked up more than 90% of the capacity on Optus' international Internet links during the night time, off-peak, period." Stuart Corner in "'Visual Networking' - the killer app threatened by the skills shortage", 9 January issue of iTWire.

 

Australians and women flock to Facebook Recent statistics indicate that the number of Australian registrations on Facebook is extraordinary, even if you discount irregular users or spam registrations. Also, registrations by women are more than double those of men. Here are recent statistics. Total population of Australia: 21,147,914. Number of Australians registered on Facebook: 1,920,300. That's about 9% of Australia's total population. Number of Australian registrants who gave their gender as "men": 584,940 (30.46%). Number who gave their gender as "women": 1,335,360 (69.54%). 

Sources: Australia's population estimate by Australia Bureau of Statistics on 25 November 2007 at 6.26pm. All other statistics are from Travels with my Overnight Bag, a blog by Paul Francis. In his "Facebook Member Stats - An Update" post on 23 November 2005, Francis used the Facebook data available on countries in the Facebook advertising platform.  

 

HR planning is a top priority for 2008 In HR planning for 2008, ABS statistics support the view that keywords for employers remain - retain, train and manage talent and overall performance. The issue is rising worker mobility or job shifting. Nationally unemployment is the lowest since 1974, currently 4.3%. ABS labour mobility statistics indicate that in February 2006 there were 9.9 million workers in Australia aged 15-69 years. Of these, 11.7%, ie 1.2 million workers, had changed their main jobs in the prior 12 months. This percentage has been similar since 2002. Of those changing their main job, "24% had two or more changes of employer/business, 55% changed industry, 44% changed occupation, 75% changed usual hours worked, and 37% changed employment type." Further resources: Special Collection: Human Resources Management and Law, especially part 6 of What every business should know about common law employment contracts.

 

Bubbles in China and business valuation "China’s stock market is in a bubble. There’s only one way forward for Alibaba’s stock, and that is down. Shares in Alibaba.com nearly tripled today when they started trading in Hong Kong. The shares closed at HK$39.50, after the stock was originally priced at HK$13.50. Alibaba’s shares now trade at 320 times its expected net profit this year of HK$83 million." Source: VentureBeat blog post, Alibaba shows China in bubble , 7 Nov. 2007. For more on valuation, multiples and EBIT see: Business valuation with price earnings multiples and Business valuation with EBIT multiples.

 

Net's growth makes magic  "For the first time in history, you have a global market of 1+ billion people, all connected over an interactive network where they're all a click away from you. That's amazing. And 100 million new people are being added to that count every year, and that will continue for the next 30 years. A huge and growing market makes all kinds of magical things possible, and I think that's what we're seeing now." Source: Marc Andreessen writing his post Serial entrepreneurs and today's Silicon Valley (29 Oct. 2007), inspired by a phone call from Gary Rivlin. Rivlin, journalist with The New York Times, called to research After succeeding, Young Tycoons Try, Try Again (28 Oct. 2007). Rivlin's story spotlights Max Levchin, who at 27 years age sold his interest in PayPal and now at 32 is firing up slide.com.

 

Christian Dior - tres magnifique rise in business valuation "...[T]he business value of Christian Dior rose from US$15 million in 1985 to US$11.95 billion in 2003. Thus in the 18 years to 2003, the Christian Dior business valuation increased so that it was valued about 800 times more in 2003 than it was in 1985. In percentage terms that's an increase of 79,900%." Quote from Noric Dilanchian article, Fashion lore and law

 

Business.com sold for US$345 million  Until today The Fly missed this news which remains remarkable. In July 2007 "Business.com" sold for US$345 million, plus additional deferred payments. Business.com is more than just a domain name, and maybe that's why it's not listed as a pure domain name play at DN Journal (a lowbrow US domain name industry news magazine). Business.com is a profitable business search engine, directory and pay-per-click advertising network. It was last sold in 1999 for US$7.5 million. The buyer, R.H. Donnelley Corporation, publishes print and web-based phone directories and in its press release it states: "Business.com employs approximately 100 highly-skilled technologists, strategists and businesspeople and serves more than 6,000 business-to-business advertisers and their agencies. The company is profitable and is expected to generate revenues of greater than $50 million in 2007." For further information on domain name sales in 2007 go to Online advertising, shaken not stirred.

 

Google GPhone versus Microsoft Windows Mobile  With its share price now over US$600, and its market capitalisation over US$190 billion, Read/Write Web reports Google's market valuation is currently higher than Wal-Mart or Coca-Cola.

 

Google's value spike as online advertising grows and The New York Times reports on information leaking about GPhone, Google's Linux-based mobile phone software application expected to be officially announced later in 2007. Putting that in context, The Times states: "Microsoft, whose mobile operating system has been available for years, has distribution agreements with 48 handset makers and 160 carriers around the world. Still, only 12 million phones sold this year will be based on Microsoft's software, giving it 10% of the smart-hone market, according to IDC." Miguel Helft (Matt Richtel and Laura M. Holson contributing), The New York Times, 8 Oct 2007 "For Google, Advertising and Phones Go Together".

  

Litigation funding provides "access to justice" " There are about 12,000 pieces of commercial litigation involving disputes worth more than $100,000 in NSW and Victoria but fewer than 100 of them are supported by commercial litigation funders. ... The Law Council of Australia has told SCAG [Standing Committee of Attorneys-General reviewing how litigation funding should be regulated] that the fledgling litigation funding industry must be allowed to develop to expand access to justice, and has warned that overregulation would stifle its growth." Matthew Drummond, "Litigation funder targets smaller end", The Australian Financial Review, 5 Oct 2007, p. 58. Comment: The High Court of Australia found a litigation funding agreement lawful in the 2006 case, Campbells Cash and Carry Pty Limited v Fostif Pty Limited

 

We don't want no innovation?  "Innovation creates value and yet we have business schools that don't recognise it. ... There are maybe two or three business schools in the country that take this seriously, which is bizarre. ... The way we use and apply knowledge is now as important to the value-add in the economy as efficiencies in production." - Mark Dodgson, Professor and Director of the Technology and Innovation Management Centre at The University of Queensland's Business School. Quoted in Luke Slattery's article, "Challenge to embrace innovation", The Australian Financial Review (Education insert) p. 33, 10 Sep 2007.

 

First, we balme all the company directors  Author of the 2007 book Protecting your Position and Australian lawyer, Bruce Cowley, "...said that his investigations had uncovered 104 statutes in Queensland, 114 in NSW and 59 in Victoria that leave directors and officers personally liable for corporate fault. ... Those are particularly draconian provisions, because you’re really saying that the directors will have automatic liability, and it is strict liability. Directors will only be able to avoid that liability if they are able to make out the availability of a defence. In essence, that is a reversal of the onus of proof.” Source: Company directors exposed to statute stings, Lawyers Weekly, 3 Sep 2007. The considerable extent of state and federal legislation making company directors personally liable was also investigated in the September 2006 report of 133 pages, Personal Liability for Corporate Fault , by the Corporations and Markets Advisory Committee (CAMAC). Its call for change awaits action by governments Australia-wide.

 

Australia celebrates business and skilled migrants from IndiaIndia is our fourth-largest and fastest-growing merchandise export market. Australian merchandise exports to India rose to A$11 billion in 2006-07, increasing by an unprecedented 37% from the previous year" said Australian Government Minister for Trade, Warren Truss in his press release of 22 August 2007. The Minister was announcing the launch of www.utsavaustralia.in, and the press release talks up that site's promotion of Australian industry and business products, services and capability for businesses in India. Utsav Australia means Celebrate Australia. The portal also promotes Australia as a place for study and migration. The Fly notes in 2006-07 Australia welcomed 15,865 skilled visa stream migrants from India. A total of 97,920 permanent skilled visas were granted for the year, led by entrants from the United Kingdom (24,800). It was followed by India (15,865), China (14,688), South Africa (4,293) and Malaysia (3,838). 

 

Mountains of Commonwealth legislation "In 1950 the Commonwealth Parliament passed 80 Acts which took up 281 pages. There was a steady increase in the volume of Commonwealth Acts for the next 50 years. In 2000, 372 Commonwealth Acts were passed, taking up 4,383 pages. Similar increases were experienced in the states and territories." D. C. Pearce and Robert Geddes, Statutory Interpretation in Australia, Sixth Edition (LexisNexis, Sydney 2006), p. 1. The Fly observes a pattern where now one Commonwealth Act can exceed the total number of pages of all Commonwealth Acts in 1950.  For example, there was 687 pages in Work Choices in 2005 (and that's not counting an additional 545 in its explanatory memorandum). Most recently there is about 500 pages in the Northern Territory National Emergency Response Bill 2007 package of 2007. For graphs illustrating the rise and rise of pages of Commonwealth taxation and commercial legislation over the decades see Rethinking Regulation.

 

Speed reading law makers On Tuesday 7 August 2007 Indigenous Affairs Minister Mal Brough introduced the Northern Territory National Emergency Response Bill 2007. It is part of new legislation in a number of bills totaling more than 500 pages. The Australian Democrats and the Australian Labor Party received it on Monday 6 August. They had less than 24 hours before a debate on it in the House of Representatives for 6 hours and 23 minutes. It was then passed to the Senate which considered it on Tuesday 14 August for two hours 38 minutes. It is expected to be passed by the Senate today, Wednesday 15 August.

Source: Crikey, 14 Aug 2007 and print media. 

 

Australian wine exports top A$3 billion  "In the year ended July 2007, value [of wine exports] grew 8% to reach a milestone A$3 billion and volume grew 10% to 805 million litres. The average price declined 2% to A$3.73 per litre. ... The modest decline in the average price was a result of the average bottled price increasing 6 cents to A$4.86 per litre (up 1.3%) while the bulk average price declined 10 cents to A$1.02 per litre(down 9%)." Leading in the last 12 months as a growth export sales market for Australian wine was China (up 125.1%). It was followed by Netherlands (up 35%),  Ireland (up 28.3%), France (up 18.6%), Belgium (up 16%) and Singapore (up 16.4%). Australian Wine and Brandy Corporation, Wine Export Approval Report, July 2007, p. 2. For background information on trends see:  Liquor sector trends and statistics for 2007.

 

Net worth of Australian households "[T]he wealthiest 20% of households in Australia account for 61% of total household net worth, with average net worth of A$1.7 million per household. [T]he poorest 20% of households account for 1% of total household net worth, with an average net worth of $27,000 per household." Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, "6523.0 - Household Income and Income Distribution, Australia, 2005-06", released 2 Aug 2007.

 

"Alan Bond in short pants"?"  In October 2006, private equity firm, CVC Asia Pacific, paid A$4.5 billion for 50% of the main media assets of Publishing and Broadcasting Ltd, the James Packer vehicle. The jewel in that crown was perceived to be the Channel Nine television network. Then in early 2007 CVC acquired another 25% and rolled it too into the new vehicle Consolidated Media Holdings. The ratings of Channel Nine have declined so much that Mark Day of The Australia on 26 July 2007 in his blog wrote: "It is a disaster which Nine's 75 per cent owners, the private equity firm CVC Asia Pacific could not have foreseen. It throws doubt on that company's ability ever to get a return from its investment. James [Packer] may well say CVC's youthful boss, Adrian MacKenzie is his Alan Bond in short pants."

 

About 1.4 million Australians use VoIP "About 1.4 million Australian consumers use services such as Skype or Engin at least occasionally to make voice over internet protocol (VoIP) calls via their internet broadband connection, says telecommunications research firm Market Clarity. About 160 consumer-level VoIP service providers operate in Australia, including listed companies such as Engin, MyNetFone and Freshtel, as well as international giants such as Skype, Google and Yahoo!, and diversified internet service providers such as iiNet and Internode. ...[O]nly 400,000 consumers pay anything for the VoIP services they use." Renai LeMay, "VoIP sellers still awaiting use-buy date", The Australian Financial Review, 17 July 2007, p. 29.

 

Apple Inc. wants 1% of the global mobile phone market in 2008 In his iPhone product demo video at the Macworld Conference & Expo 2007, Apple CEO Steve Jobs said that for 2008 Apple seeks 1% market share (equal to sales of 10 million units) of the global mobile phone market. Jobs quoted statistics on the millions of units sold globally in 2006 of various devices - 26M game consoles, 94M digital cameras, 135M MP3 players, 209M PCs, and 957M mobile phones.

 

Product placement market size in Australia "Last year US research company PQ Media estimated that Australian companies spent A$137.8 million placing products and brands in TV programs and films in 2005, up 25.4% from A$110 in 2004. Australia is the third-biggest product placement market in the world." Source: Julian Lee, "Vegemite rehearses for Hollywood debut", The Sydney Morning Herald, 21 June 2007, p. 27. 

 

US motion pictures exports earned US$18 billion in 2006 Here are the combined 2006 revenue earnings of the six member companies of the Motion Picture Association (MPA) - Walt Disney Co., Paramount Pictures Corp., Sony Pictures Entertainment, 20th Century Fox Film Corp., Universal City Studios and Warner Bros. They earned US$42.6 billion. US$18.3 billion was from exports, the rest from domestic "all-media". Australia continued to rank as the 7th biggest export market for MPA members. The global revenues from "all-media" split: 44% from DVD home video, 26% television, 19% theatrical, 10% pay TV, and 1% VHS home video.

Source: Hy Hollinger, MPA study: Brighter picture for movie industry, Hollywood Reporter, 15 June 2007. See also data in MPA slides 2006 U.S. Theatrical Market Statistics.

  

Software piracy falls in China "China's piracy rate dropped four percentage points for the second consecutive year and has dropped 10 percentage points in the last three years, from 92% in 2003 to 82% in 2006. ... While the U.S. had the lowest piracy rate of all countries studied at 21%, it also had the greatest total losses at US$7.3 billion. China saw the second highest losses at US$5.4 billion with a piracy rate of 82%, followed by France with losses of US$2.7 billion and a piracy rate of 45%." Source: IDC press release, 15 May 2007. Australia's piracy rate is 29%: source: Fourth Annual BSA and IDC Global Software Piracy Study.

 

Online banking and IT security hints "According to the E-Money survey, primary measures that online bankers are taking to protect themselves [include] ... Logging out correctly at the end of each session (93%); Ignoring emails asking for personal information (92%); Regularly updating and protecting passwords (55%); [and] Setting daily withdrawal limits to suit their needs (47$). ... Since its launch in 1997, NetBank has grown to meet the changing needs of its customers to become Australia’s most popular online banking choice with more than 3 million registered customers." Source: Commonwealth Bank, Media Release, 28 May 2007, "Silver surfers riding the online banking wave". For  more IT security hints see Checklist of 51 hints for data and IT security.  

  

The Simpsons 400 Episodes The Simpsons has aired 400 episodes over 18 seasons since it first aired in the United States in 1989, and then in Australia in 1991. This record puts it at the end of a list of even longer running Australian TV programs still being aired - Four Corners (1961), Here's Humphrey (1965), Play School (1966), 60 Minutes (1979), Neighbours (1985), and Funniest Home Videos (1990): Source The Australian Financial Review (28 May 2007, p. 52). With a focus on merchandising and character licensing, the May 2007 edition of License! Global takes an in-depth look at "The Simpsons US$5 billion worldwide empire."

 

Computer and Internet Use 2002 to 2006 Between 2002 and 2006, computer use increased from 55% to 69%, and Internet use at home went from 43% to 60%. While men were still more likely to use computers and access the Internet, the increases were greater for women. Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, General Social Survey: Summary Results, Australia, 2006 (cat. no. 4159.0), 22 May 2007.

 

New Media Distribution Writing in The Australian Financial Review (10 May 2007, p. 50) Lyndall Crisp notes the increasing use of digital distribution mechanisms in the performing arts: “The Sydney Symphony ... has a relationship with Telstra Bigpond, which webstreams 10 live concerts to more than a million subscribers.” Crisp notes The Met in New York live broadcasts performances into cinemas across the USA, Canada, Japan, and several European countries.

 

Ten years of Crown Casino 1997-2007 "With 2,500 poker machines and 350 gaming tables, it is the largest casino in the southern hemisphere and a tourist attraction for Victoria. It draws 16 million people a year - 20% of them from overseas or interstate. ... The complex has two hotel towers totalling 947 rooms, 35 restaurants, 15 bars, 22 retail outlets and six entertainment venues. ... PBL bought Crown for the bargain price of the equivalent of A$1.7 billion in 1999..." Source: Mark Phillips, "It's still a numbers game for Crown", The Australian Financial Review, 3 May 2007, p. 44.

 

Television ratings in 2007 "2007: The ratings war has entered the most dramatic phase in five decades - Seven has won nine out of nine surveys since the beginning of the year and Nine is 'still the one' in name only." Source: Michael Idato, "Those were the days" (The Sydney Morning Herald, The Guide,  April 30-May 6, 2007, p. 8) article reviewing 25 years of TV in Australia.

 

Stock stock market concentration "The top 50 Australian stocks have a market capitalisation of A$953 billion or 76% of the A$1.3 trillion capitalisation of the top 300 stocks of the 1,837 listed entities on the Australian exchange, just 77 have a market capitalisation of A$3 billion or more." John Durie (Chanticleer column), "Tougher days for private equity", The Australian Financial Review,  19 April 2007, backpage. For an Australian perspective on private equity, see Private equity or private debt? Beware the Ides of March.

 

" Pay TV is found in 26% of Australian homes ", writes Neil Shoebridge today in "Sporting spectacles boost Foxtel" (The Australian Financial Review, 18 April 2007, p. 51). Shoebridge's article reports that Foxtel CEO, Kim Williams, yesterday told an ABN Amro conference that Foxtel's subscriber numbers increased 8.6% in the December 2006 half year to 1.3 million subscribers.

 

Profits of the big three in IT and the question of vulnerability. " After Microsoft, Oracle and Google recorded the largest profits among software companies in 2006. But Oracle’s profit of US$3.38 billion, and Google’s US$3.08 billion, are still no match for  Microsoft’s US$12.6 billion. ... Microsoft’s position, however, is vulnerable to attack... [Microsoft's] commitment to Vista is the last gasp of a technology that is nearing the end of its dominance. " Paul Strassmann, whose biography is here, writing in Real Numbers: Is Microsoft Losing its Grip? as published in Baseline, May 2007. Strassman claims two grounds for such vulerability - the higher cost and lower security for Microsoft's fat client architecture, versus say thin client and software-as-a-service architectures of its competitors.

 

" India is at the epicentre of the flat world," says Michael Cannon-Brookes, vice-president for business development in India and China at IBM, which has reduced its American work force by 31,000 since 1992 - even as its Indian staff mushroomed to 52,000 from zero. ... At the forefront of the outsourcing business is Infosys Technologies, an Indian company... Infosys devotes US$65 of every US$1,000 in revenue to training. IBM, by contrast, spends just US$6.56, according to a 2006 proxy statement. " Anand Giridharadas, "India's edge goes beyond outsourcing", The New York Times, 4 April 2007. [Ed. Its 50,000 employees in India equal 14.6% of IBM's 355,766 global work force.]

 

" For the past 10 years thoroughbred racing has ranked as Australia's second-most popular sport behind Aussie rules, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics report on sport attendance. Australian Racing Board chief executive Andrew Harding points out that ...  'Over the past 10 years, Flemington [with a 130,000-plus capacity] has grown Ladies Day from about 15,000 people to 80,000. And Randwick will attract 80,000 people over four days of racing during its Easter carnival.' " Source: Fiona Carruthers and Jason Clout, "All's fair in love, war and racing", The Weekend Australian Financial Review, 5-9 April 2007, p. 46. See also Size and Scope of  the Australian Thoroughbred Racehorse Industry

 

About Google. Total number of employees: nearly 12,000. Total 2006 revenue from advertisers: US$10.6 billion. Share of all Internet searches: 56%. Total number of users per month: 400 million. Total hoard of cash and investments: US$11 billion. Total 2006 payments to advertising syndicators (ie offering Google AdSense): US$3 billion. Current Google stock capitalisation: US$144 billion. "If you can believe it, Google's ... [stock valuation] tops that of Time Warner, Viacom, CBS, ad agency giant Publicis Groupe, and the New York Times Company combined." Source: Rob Hof, "Is Google Too Powerful?" in BusinessWeek.

 

"For much of the 20th century, about one American in a thousand was confined to a cell. The proportion of Americans behind bars started rising in the mid-Seventies, and by 2003 had done so for 28 consecutive years. Counting jails, there are now seven Americans in every thousand behind bars. That is nearly five times the historic norm and seven times higher than most of Western Europe." Jason DeParle's book review titled "The American Prison Nightmare", in the New York Review of Books, Volume 54, Number 6, 12 April 2007.

 

How popular are YouTube videos and where can they take you?  Current figures show the most viewed YouTube video ever is Evolution of Dance. It has been viewed over 45 million times. In No. 13 position, and viewed over 12 million times, is the Free Hugs Campaign music video. It has generated 23,240 comments, making it the 4th most discussed video ever on YouTube. It was shot at Pitt Street Mall in Sydney and has a real life angle. Singing "All the Same" is the Australian band, Sick Puppies, based in LA since mid-2005. The band was already popular when the video helped build song sales on iTunes and airtime on Oprah, Jay Leno, Good Morning America and Sixty Minutes. Source: The Fly, 27 March 2007. 

 

In 2006 Starbucks' revenue of US$7.8 billion was greater than the combined average annual coffee export revenue earned by all coffee bean producing nations in recent years!  US$6.2 billion was the combined average annual coffee export revenue annually from 2000 to 2004 by all coffee producing nations. Source: September 2005 submission to the UN by the International Coffee Organization. For more coffee statistics read this Dilanchian article: Coffee brand values.

 

The Australian Bureau of Statistics "Counts of Australian Businesses", 26 Feb 2006 reports that at June 2006:

  • "...there were 1,963,907 actively trading businesses in Australia...
  • Property and business services had the greatest number of businesses with 492,453 (or 25% of the total), followed by Construction (16%), Retail trade and Agriculture, forestry and fishing (11% each). ...
  • there were 807,581 (41.1%) employing businesses and 1,156,326 (58.9%) non-employing businesses. ...
  • businesses reporting annual turnover between $50k to less than $200k made up the largest share of the total business population with 780,062 (39.7%). Businesses reporting annual turnover between $200k to less than $2m were next at 652,798 (33.2%), followed by businesses reporting between zero to less than $50k at 404,643 (20.6%), and businesses reporting $2m or more at 126,404 (6.4%)."

A Washington Post opinion piece begins with this sentence "In the past year, Wikipedia, the online encyclopedia that "anyone can edit," has been cited four times as often as the Encyclopedia Britannica in judicial opinions, and the number is rapidly growing." It ends with this sentence: "In just a few years, Wikipedia has become the most influential encyclopedia in the world, consulted by judges as well as those who cannot afford to buy books. If the past is prologue, we're seeing the tip of a very large iceberg." Cass R. Sunstein: "A Brave New Wikiworld", Washington Post, 24 Feb. 2007. Prof. Sunstein teaches in law and political science at the University of Chicago. His latest book is Infotopia: How Many Minds Produce Knowledge (Oxford University Press, USA, 2006). 

 

"The ACCC’s February 2007 Broadband Snapshot shows that broadband takeup continues to grow at a rampant pace. The report estimates that as at 30 September 2006, broadband take-up across business and household users has increased by over 1.2 million services, or 51 percent from the September 2005 figure of around 2.4 million." "Regulating media and broadcasting networks in a changing media environment" speech on 5 March 2007 by Graeme Samuel, Chair, Australian Competition and Consumer Commission.

 

The top three revenue earners from the $1.02 billion Australian online advertising market in 2006 were: (1) Google (A$206 million), (2) Telstra's Sensis earning (A$192 million), and (3) Fairfax Digital (A$115 million). These are all estimates made in this week's Australia Online issue of BRW magazine following "extensive interviews and profiling of online media businesses". Source: Foad Fadaghi, "Google beats the locals to secure top spot in digital media", Australian Financial Review, 22 Feb. 2007, p. 42. Further reading: Lightbulb post on 12 Feb. 2007:  Australian advertising revenue is draining overseas.

 

"In 2006, under 2 billion DRM-protected songs were sold worldwide by online stores, while over 20 billion songs were sold completely DRM-free  and unprotected on CDs by the music companies themselves. The music companies sell the vast majority of their music DRM-free, and show no signs of changing this behavior, since the overwhelming majority of their revenues depend on selling CDs which must play in CD players that support no DRM system." Steve Jobs, "Thoughts on Music", his Apple blog post on digital rights management (DRM), 6 Feb. 2007.

 

"For 2005, the [United States] current account deficit was US$805 billion, 6.4% of national income. In 2005, the U.S. trade deficit, the largest component of the current account deficit, soared to an all-time high of US$725.8 billion, the fourth consecutive year that America's trade debts set records. The trade deficit with China alone rose to US$201.6 billion, the highest imbalance ever recorded with any country." Chalmers Johnson (a retired professor of Asian Studies), quoted by Tom Engelhardt at the Website Working for Change, 31 Jan. 2007.

 

"[P]rivate equity takeovers in [calendar year] 2006 [globally] totalled US$758 billion - more than twice the 2005 level and equal to 20% of global acquisitions. ... Most private equity deals are leveraged by 70%, so US$400 billion [already raised for further acquisitions] translates to a war chest of up to US$1,300 billion." Robert Gottliebsen, "Death of the public company looms", The Weekend Australian, 3-4 February 2007, p. 41.

 

"More than half (55%) of all online American youths ages 12-17 use online social networking sites, according to a new [October-November 2006] national survey of [935 continental USA] teenagers conducted by the Pew Internet & American Life Project. ... Fully 85% of teens who have created an online profile say the profile they use or update most often is on MySpace, while 7% update a profile on Facebook. Another 1% tend to a primary profile on Xanga. Smaller numbers told us they have profiles at places like Yahoo, Piczo, Gaiaonline and Tagged.com."

 

Skye's proprietary P2P protocol: ."Peer-to-peer (“P2P”) technology was first widely deployed and popularized by file-sharing applications such as Napster and KaZaA. ... Decentralized P2P networks have several advantages over traditional client-server networks... by decentralizing resources, second generation (2G) P2P networks have been able to virtually eliminate costs associated with a large centralized infrastructure. P2P telephony became a natural next step where P2P could have a significant disruptive impact and Skype was founded to develop the first P2P telephony network." Source: "Skye P2P Telephony Explained".

 

"The number of Internet users in China reached 137 million people and is equal to 10.5% of China's total population. ... There is a very significant increase in the number of IP addresses reaching 98 million. .... The mobile Internet will become the latest fashion of the Internet... Among the 137 million are 17 million people using mobile phones to go online..." Source: China Internet Network Information Centre (a statutory body in China), 23 January 2007. Translation by Ai Ling, Dilanchian Lawyers.

 

"Apple rebuilt its fame on the iPod, and its accompanying iTunes online music store. Apple has sold more than 70 million of the devices since they were introduced in 2001, capturing about 70% of the MP3 player market. The device transformed Apple from a boutique computer company into a full-scale electronics firm, something it recognised yesterday by changing its name from Apple Computer to just Apple." Mike Hughlett, "Apple banks on mystique for iPhone", Chicago Tribune, 9 January 2007.

 

"Sensis delivered A$1.7 billion in revenue from its advertising and directories business in the year to June 30, 2006. ... Analysts expect [Telecom NZ's Yellow Pages business] unit to sell for more than 13 times EBITDA given the strong mergers and acquisitions environment. ... Telstra would be particularly interested in the asset... Diminished fixed-line phone revenue is a significant problem for Telstra's future profitability because profit margins are as high as 70% and these cannot be replaced by new revenue from broadband." Tracy Lee, The Australian Financial Review, "Telstra eyes Yellow Pages NZ", 5 January 2007, p. 14.

 

Canadian-based Research in Motion, which makes the BlackBerry, had about 7 million users as of 21 December 2006. To bring it to that total in the third quarter it added  875,000 more subscribers.

Source: Press release, "Research in Motion Reports Preliminary Third Quarter Results", 21 Dec 2006.

 

Intel, AMD, Microsoft, government agencies and others are trying to solve the growing electricity power and cooling needs of servers and computer data centers in the United States, which total US$30 billion a year. "Overall, power consumption now accounts for 40% of a data center's operating budget. ... One large data center can consume enough juice to power a small city of 30,000 to 40,000 people... " Wall Street Journal, page B3, 21 Dec 2006

 

"In 2004-05 Australia exported dairy products valued at A$2.3 billion (1.8% of total merchandise exports). Milk and cream and milk products (excluding butter and cheese) contributed A$1.3 billion, while cheese and curd, and butter and other fats and oils derived from milk brought in A$877 million and A$189 million respectively." 301.0 - Year Book Australia, 2006 (Chapter 14), Released 20 Jan 2006, Australian Bureau of Statistics

 

It's a small world  The first job of YouTube co-founder, Chad Hurley, was as PayPal's first designer. Time magazine takes up the story: "In 1999, he was finishing up at Indiana University of Pennsylvania, where he had majored in computer science before switching to graphic design and printmaking. ... Chad sent PayPal his resume... The company flew him to California and asked him to show his skills by designing a company logo (it's still the PayPal logo to this day)." John Cloud, The Gurus of YouTube, Time, 16 Dec 2006. 

 

Busines angel finance "Business angels invest, between £10,000 and £750,000" per deal says the British Business Angels Association. In Australia Business Angels Pty Ltd provides a fee for service register for angels and businesses to find each other and talk, eg about business valuation. A similar service in the US is at www.vfinance.com.

 

" Sony Pictures Entertainment said Thursday that it has reached US$3 billion in worldwide box office sales this [calendar] year, a marker hit by only two other studios in movie history. Warner Bros Pictures hit that mark in 2004 and 2005, while Walt Disney Pictures achieved the milestone in 2003. ... The Da Vinci Code marks the studio's top grosser this year at more than US$750 million worldwide.Nicole Sperling, "Sony's $3 billion tops global box office", Reuters / Hollywood Reporter, 8 Dec 2006.

 

" With limited ad inventory compared to the free to air networks - less than half of the pay TV channels carry ads and the industry has a self-imposed limit of six minutes of ads an hour, versus about 12 minutes on the free to air networks ... Pay TV now has a 13% share of night-time TV viewing. That figure rises to about 45% in households that subscribe to pay TV. ... Foxtel lifted its subscriber base 10% to 1.13 million during 2005-06..." Neil Shoebridge, "Pay TV begins its overtaking move", The Australian Financial Review, 11 Dec 2006, p. 44.

 

" Based on recent trends trends, China will spend just over US$136 billion on R&D in 2006, just over Japan’s forecast US$130 billion. The United States is predicted to remain the world’s leading investor in R&D in 2006, spending just over US$330 billion. The EU-15, which includes France, Germany and the UK, is predicted to spend just over US$230 billion. ... [China's R&D spending] is growing even faster than the economy which is growing by between 9 and 10% a year." China will become world’s second highest investor in R&D by end of 2006, finds OECD, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 4 Dec 2006. 

 

" Shares in Wotif.com are up 127.5% since its June [2006] float on the Australian Stock Exchange at A$2. Shares reached A$4.80 during trade on Friday... The company has a market capitalisation of A$924.5 million. ... [and trades] ... at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41 times..." Source: Mark Jones, "Wotif bed bookings tipped to rise", The Australian Financial Review, 4 Dec 2006, p. 55.

 

" Foxtel, which is 50% owned by Telstra, 25% by Rupert Murdoch's News Corp and 25% per cent by James Packer's Publishing & Broadcasting Ltd, reported a A$4 million net profit for 2005-06, its first full-year profit since it was launched in October 2005. Foxtel's digital video recorder (DVR), which enables customers to easily record programs, has been bought by 10% of subscribers. The executive director of content, development and delivery, Patrick Delany, said 30% of new subscribers were buying the DVR. " Source: Neil Shoebridge, "Foxtel puts focus on coming attractions", The Australian Financial Review, 30 November 2006, p. 17. 

 

" The conduct of AWB and its officers was due to a failure in corporate culture. ... [AWB was] a closed culture of superiority and impregnability, of dominance and self-importance. Legislation cannot destroy such a culture or create a satisfactory one. That is the task of boards and the management of companies. The starting point is an ethical base. At AWB the Board and management failed to create, instil or maintain a culture of ethical dealing. " Source: page xii of Volume 1 of the Cole Report (ie Report of the Inquiry into certain Australian companies in relation to the UN Oil-for-Food Programme), November 2006.

 

"Through the third quarter of 2006, US$455.5 million has been directed into 79 Web 2.0 deals, more than twice the amount that was invested in the first three quarters of 2005. Overall, more than US$1.63 billion has been invested so far this year into 198 consumer technology companies headquartered in the US, nearly matching the total amount invested in all of 2005... " Source: Dow Jones VentureOne press release, 7 November 2006. Dow Jones VentureOne compiles its quarterly US venture capital investment reports with Ernst & Young.

 

" The Pew Internet Project in the US found that the average 21 year old has, in all probability, spent 5,000 hours playing video games, exchanged around 250,000 emails, instant messages, and phone text messages, and has spent 10,000 hours on a mobile phone and 3,500 hours online. " Source: Senator Helen Coonan (Australia's Minister for Communications, Information Technology and the Arts) delivering her 2006 Andrew Olle Media Lecture, Sydney 17 November 2006. 

 
" KKR [Kohlberg Kravis Roberts], which was an underbidder for a half share in James Packer's media spin-off last month, will invest A$735 million for its 50% economic interest in the new joint venture, Seven Media Group, which will hold A$2.5 billion in debt. ... Seven Media is the latest in a string of deals pairing offshore private equity groups with media companies. ... And last month Publishing and Broadcasting Ltd sold half of its main media assets to CVC Capital Partners in a A$4.5 billion deal. " Source: Lisa Murray "Stokes is dancing with the stars", Sydney Morning Herald, 21 November 2006, p. 17.
 
" Microsoft's desktop business accounts for more than half of its US$44 billion (A$57.5 billion) in annual sales and most of its profit.  ...Google, which makes nearly all its money from advertising, made a net profit of US$733 million last quarter and revenue surged 70% from a year ago to US$2.69 billion. " Source: Reuters report in article titled "Microsoft's big punt on web services", The Australian Financial Review, 16 November 2006, p. 43. 
 
" During the five years to 2005, exports to all Asian countries rose at an average annual rate of 6% led by exports to India and China, which grew at an average annual pace of 29% and 25.5% respectively. Over the same period, exports to the US declined at an average annual rate of 4% and exports to the European Union grew at an annual pace of 3.5%. " Source: Mark Davis quoting figures from the Reserve Bank of Australia in his article "Asia provides buffer to US slowdown", The Australian Financial Review, 14 November 2006, p. 9. 
 
The "biggest issue of 2006-07" for the BRW's Fast 100 companies is: "hiring qualty staff". This was selected by 35%. The next was: "growth strategies", selected by 29%. Votes were well behind for: "capital for growth" (7%), "margin pressures" (7%), "managing staff" (5%), "growing competition" (5%), "slowing economic conditions" (1%), "rising interest rates" (1%), "technology" (1%) and "other" (9%). Source: BRW Fast 100 issue, 12 October - 15 November 2006, p. 26.
 
" We are tired of collecting your $12 billion of GST while you remain deaf to our needs. We are tired of collecting your PAYE tax from our 600,000 employees while you remain deaf to our requests for help to resolve the monopolistic attitudes of landlords. " Richard Evans, Chief Executive of the Franchise Council in a speech to the National Franchise Convention in which he called on the federal government to give the Small Business Minister a cabinet role. Quoted in "Call for a place at the table"', Australian Financial Review, 31 October 2006, p50.
 
" More than 17,500 Australians use eBay as their primary source of income, and the site is Australia's dominant online retailer with 57% of internet shoppers making a purchase in the past year, according to research company ACNielsen. " Tony Boyd and Neil Shoebridge in their article, "Telstra's Sensis takes on eBay", The Australian Financial Review, 25 October 2006, p1.
 
" The fact that the judge, with the advantage of leisure and hindsight, might have made a different editorial decision should not destroy the defence. That would make the publication of articles which are, ex hypothesi, in the public interest, too risky and would discourage investigative reporting. " - Lord Hoffman in Jameel & Others v Wall Street Journal Europe Sprl [2006] UKHL 4, 11 October 2006. Mr Abdul Latif Jameel, a 'prominent businessman ', failed in the House of Lords in his defamation action against the Wall Street Journal. 

 

" With the release of Vista, ... using its Software Protection Program (SPP), Microsoft is going to scrutinize every single user as if they were a potential pirate and, if it deems that they are, it will disable their machines unless they pay up. " - Stan Beer, Apple and Microsoft: a tale of two piracy fighters iTWire enewsletter, 16 October 2006.

 

Most people see big business as a ruthless, money-making machine that doesn't let anything get in the way of profit except the law - and then occasionally not event that. " - Mary Winter, Chief Strategy Officer, STW Communications Group [John Singleton's marketing services business], commenting on release of a new survey, The Australian Report. Quoted in The Australian Financial Review, 9 October 2006, p. 56.  
 

" If the Australian Government were to invest its entire research and innovation budget (well over five billion Australian dollars a year) into automotive research it would still spend less than most of the major car manufacturers. ... In fact, in 2005 Ford Motor and DaimlerChrysler spent about eight billion US dollars apiece on research and development. "

Thomas Barlow, The Australian Miracle: An Innovative Nation Revisited, Picador 2006, p. 31. 

 

"With 12 million Americans now writing blogs and 57 million Americans reading them, according to the Pew study, their emergence in lawsuits is likely to grow in prominence, especially as bloggers are increasingly held to the same standards as professional journalists..." Sacha Pfeiffer, author of article "In court blogs can come back to dog the writers ", The Boston Globe, 28 September 2006

 

"In the post-PC, device world, content is what sells the hardware, at least for hardware." US technology jouralist, Om Malik, on Apple's iTV: Is Steve Jobs Bill Gates 2.0? 13 Sep. 2006 

 

"Market capitalism is a restless system of experimentation in pursuit of sustainable rents based on private knowledge." Australian "Neo-Darwinian" economists, John Nightingale and Jason Potts, quoted in Boss, Sept. 20, page 28.

 

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Collections of facts by The Fly: 

  [ Dilanchian is a business law firm specialising in technology and IP law, management and commercialisation ]

 
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